Situation: a partially decomposed human body is discovered in a field. You and your partner Sherlock have been asked to investigate. Your first task is to estimate how much time has passed since the body's death. You'll get a good estimate from the medical examiner in several hours, but for now you want a quick estimate.
Sherlock is skilled at making inferences from observed details, and he thus has access to useful information: recent weather conditions, presence or absence of injuries on the body, presence or absence of carnivores and scavengers among the local wildlife, the weight of the body at death, and other things.
Sherlock asks you to build a simple model to synthesize all the relevant
